With the regular season halfway over, let’s look at the paths each team have ahead of them. This epic and stupidly long Power Ranking (I can already hear Andy’s “I’m not reading all of that!”) is by the team’s Championship odds. As of now, my thinking is that it’s going to take 8 wins to make the playoffs.
14. Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ
SCHEDULE: Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0), Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0), One Shady Motha (2-5-0), Thee Gospel (3-4-0), The Gentleman in the Corner (4-3-0), The McBarge (4-3-0), Double Dram-Ba-Ba-Bouie (4-3-0)
Dana never really overcame the crushing preseason blow of having to change his team’s name. This is a team with a clear lack of identity; Fake Tigers? Fake Tights? Fake Tikkas? What does it all mean?
Dana’s schedule isn’t easy but he does have some bye week luck - he faces Johnny on the Bucs bye week so no Baker or Egbuka, he faces Brendan without Kamara and Shaheed, and he ends the season against a Skattebo-less Rahul. Sadly, I’m not sure it’s going to make much of a difference. He simply doesn’t have the players to pull off a massive comeback. He needs a big second half from Ashton Jeanty but Vegas’ Rest of Season schedule is rough and the Raiders offense isn’t showing any signs of improvement. And no, I don’t think Gardner Minshew will make it any better. The one thing going for Dana is that I believe he was on the winning Rock Band team which means he will not be eligible for the Last Place Punishment.
13. SADAT X
SCHEDULE: Clay Says Shiit Shiiiiiiiiiiiit (2-5-0), Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0), Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0), One Shady Motha (2-5-0), Thee Gospel (3-4-0), The Gentleman in the Corner (4-3-0), The McBarge (4-3-0)
If Bucky Irving can come back and have a legit role in the Bucs’ offense, Derek has a chance to avoid the last place punishment and perhaps play spoiler in the final weeks of the season. Unfortunately, his three best players haven’t had their bye which means he can probably already lock up Weeks 8 (Kenneth Walker bye), 10 (Rashee Rice bye) and 12 (Justin Herbert bye) as losses. Week 11 vs. Andy is a Must Win for Derek and I’m sorry to say that the matchups seem to favor the Mischevious Matriarch that week. After that, I think Derek’s season basically comes down to getting revenge on me in Week 13 for all of the trash I’ve talked about the Ja’Marr Chase trade.
Of course, they still have to play the games and there’s a world in which Herbert, Rice, Walker, and Irving can light up the scoreboard so anything is possible. I’m just not willing to bet on it.
12. ONE SHADY MOTHA
SCHEDULE: Thick cakes. Big stakes (3-4-0), VanceinyourPants (5-2-0), Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ (1-6-0), Sadat X (1-6-0), Ktttssss!!! (4-3-0), Clay Says Shiit Shiiiiiiiiiiiit (2-5-0), Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0)
In the second half of the season, Andy does get to face three of the four worst teams in the league but he’s the fourth member of the quartet so it might not matter. He also has the bad luck of facing Uncle Rico twice this season and Week 14 is Drake Maye’s bye week. On the bright side, Andy doesn’t really have any bye weeks issues before Week 14. The good thing about not having any talent on the roster is that you don’t miss anyone when their gone.
Andy is definitely in the crosshairs of the Last Place Punishment but I feel like he should be able to take down Dana and Derek, which would give him a potentially insurmountable three game lead over Sadat X.
But Kevin, why so negative? What about a late race to the top of the standings? I’m just not seeing it. Andy is second to last in points. He’s tied at 2 - 5 with Justin but Justin has 171 more points. If Andy played Dana’s schedule, he’d be 0 - 7. Derek’s? 1 - 6. This is a team that can’t get Andy fired up for any podcast roster rants so I doubt they’ll be able to muster up a win streak to get into playoff contention.
11. THICK CAKES. BIG STAKES.
SCHEDULE: One Shady Motha (2-5-0), Thee Gospel (3-4-0). The Gentleman in the Corner (4-3-0), The McBarge (4-3-0), Double Dram-Ba-Ba-Bouie (4-3-0), The Fighting Borts (7-0-0), VanceinyourPants (5-2-0)
After this week, Brett doesn’t face a single team that is under .500. And we’re only now entering the weeks when byes are about to take their toll. He lucks into facing Andy while Kyren Williams is on bye, but Hurts/Smith are off the next week against Brendan, and then The Gentleman gets to avoid Higgins, Pacheco, Kelce, and Bolton.
This week is basically a Must Win game for Brett. Once Brett gets past his bye issues, he actually has great matchups for three weeks but, unfortunately, Mark (Week 11) and Eli (Week 13) have even better matchups. I’m not sure Brett will be favored in any of those games but he could have a shot at upsetting Rahul in Week 12. Brett didn’t get much love from the schedule gods; he has to face the Veep twice. In Week 14, Player #14 doesn’t have his Panthers (and has some iffy matchups) so there’s a chance that, despite a losing season, The Booty Slapper could end on a high note, but end in the regular season it shall.
10. CLAY SAYS SHIIT SHIIIIIIIIIIIIIT
SCHEDULE: Sadat X (1-6-0), Ktttssss!!! (4-3-0), The Fighting Borts (7-0-0), Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0), Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0), One Shady Motha (2-5-0), Thee Gospel (3-4-0)
Justin is emulating his guy Jameson Williams with boom/bust performances this season. He is 4th in points on the strength of three huge games. Unfortunately, this approach has him sitting at 2 - 5 with a relatively difficult 2nd half schedule. Getting Terry McLaurin back should help and Travis Hunter becoming a bigger part of the Jags’ offense could make that experiment finally pay dividends but there’s really no room for error here. If 8 wins is the target to make the playoffs, Justin can only lose two more games and he probably has one loss lined up already - Christian McCaffrey’s bye is Week 14 when The Champ plays Brendan. Every week is a Must Win for The Champ and I just don’t see him running the table against Bernie, Eli, Colin, and Johnny. I’d be surprised if he ended up facing the last place punishment but it’s not out of the question right now.
9. THE GENTLEMAN IN THE CORNER
SCHEDULE: The McBarge (4-3-0), Double Dram-Ba-Ba-Bouie (4-3-0), Thick cakes. Big stakes. (3-4-0) VanceinyourPants (5-2-0), Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ (1-6-0), Sadat X (1-6-0), Ktttssss!!! (4-3-0)
If I can hold serve against the teams I will likely be favored against, I should be able to make it to the playoffs. Of course, I’m the guy who lost to Johnny when he started an injured player so me being favored is no sure thing. But I face Mark in his Byepocalypse, Brett minus a few players, and then Dana and Derek. If I take those four, I should be in. But Derek’s matchup isn’t a sure thing as he has better matchups that week. And my other games - Rahul, Player #14, and Bernie - have me facing teams with better matchups than I’ve got.
My playoff matchups are hit or miss. Bijan could carry me to the finals but then he faces the Rams’ #1 run defense with the championship on the line. I’m really hoping that Breece Hall is traded so I’m not so heavily reliant on the mess that is the NY Jets. And I still haven’t figured out my QB situation. There are simply too many question marks right now to move The Gentleman any higher in the rankings.
8. THE MCBARGE
SCHEDULE: The Gentleman in the Corner (4-3-0), The Fighting Borts (7-0-0), Double Dram-Ba-Ba-Bouie (4-3-0), Thick cakes. Big stakes. (3-4-0), VanceinyourPants(5-2-0), Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ (1-6-, Sadat X (1-6-0)
The good thing about having a true Byepocalypse is that you’re then pretty clean for the rest of the season. Unfortunately for Mark, that isn’t going to be much of a benefit because his schedule has him pretty much facing nothing but even strength teams the rest of the way. The biggest bye week advantage he has is The Veep not having Jayden Daniels for their game. So it looks like Mark is going to have to E.F Hutton this bitch - he’s going to need to EAAAARRRRNNN it. The McBarge does have two lights at the end of the tunnel aka Dana and Derek (who looks to have some lousy matchups for the final week of the season.) Those two wins should probably cancel out his upcoming two matchups, which I think will be two losses, which means he probably needs to win two of three of his Week 10 - 12 matchups to get to 8 wins. Mark’s scoring sprees have him sitting pretty at second in points so he should be able to edge out anyone in a tie-breaker.
If Mark does make the playoffs, things don’t really get any easier. I’m not loving his Week 1 and Title Game matchups. It looks to me like Mark’s big win this season is the moral victory of disproving the pod’s low opinion of his squad.
7. DOUBLE DRAM-BA-BA-BOUIE
SCHEDULE: Thee Gospel (3-4-0), The Gentleman in the Corner (4-3-0), The McBarge (4-3-0), The Fighting Borts (7-0-0), Thick cakes. Big stakes. (3-4-0), VanceinyourPants (5-2-0), Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ (1-6-0)
Let’s start with the good news - Rahul was the schedule winner as he gets to play Dana twice. And, after this week, most of Rahul’s top players have already had their bye. Cam Skattebo against Dana in Week 14 is the only big name that will miss a game due to a bye. But, as usual, I have to say that this team only goes as far as Lamar. A healthy Lamar could run the table in the second half. I picked Rahul over Thee Gospel this week if Lamar’s healthy. Next week, I face the Lamar/Flowers stack against the shitty Miami defense. Cleveland is a tough assignment the following week but Eli will be missing Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman. Player #14 has to face Lamar/Flowers against Cincy’s porous defense. Rahul’s toughest week is probably against Brett, as Hurts/Devonta get to go up against Dallas that week.
The bad news is that Lamar is dinged up and if the Ravens can’t turn things around, there might be some talk of shutting Jackson down to avoid further injury. Nico Collins is also banged up. Bill has struggled of late and could be losing carries soon (and the Commies are reportedly considering trading for a RB.) And Smith-Njigba’s schedule gets a bit tougher in the second half.
If Rahul can get to the playoffs, I think he’s almost a lock for the second round as Lamar and Flowers have another date with the Bengals in Round 1. Unfortunately, the matchups get tougher for Rahul as the playoff carry on and I’m not sure he’ll have enough firepower to make it all the way to the title.
6. ESSOS SON REEBOK O SON NIKE
SCHEDULE: VanceinyourPants (5-2-0), Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ(1-6-0), Sadat X (1-6-0), Ktttssss!!! (4-3-0), Clay Says Shiit Shiiiiiiiiiiiit (2-5-0), Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0), The Fighting Borts (7-0-0)
When will Johnny lose again? Who will set up his lineups if he was in Chauncey Billups’s poker ring? John is Mr. Momentum right now as he’s reeled off 5 straight wins. If he can take out The Veep this week, he has Dana and Derek on deck. Then he has Bernie sans Danny Dimes and Tyler Warren. If he can run that not-so-imposing gauntlet, he’ll have 9 wins and be locked into the playoffs. Things get a little more worrisome should be stumble because he closes with an actual gauntlet of The Champ, Colin, and Eli. Still, it’s hard to see a future in which his team doesn’t get to 8 wins. Once he’s in the playoffs… I’m not liking his chances. At the start of the season, I thought Tampa Bay had the best playoff schedule but Atlanta and Carolina’s defenses have proven to be stouter than expected. And I don’t think I’ll ever love the idea of depending on Jaylen Warren and D’Andre Swift.
5. UNCLE RICO’S ROUGHNECK
SCHEDULE: Caviar Fake Ti#**s OTPBJ (1-6-0), Sadat X (1-6-0), Ktttssss!!! (4-3-0), Clay Says Shiit Shiiiiiiiiiiiit (2-5-0), The Fighting Borts (7-0-0), Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0), One Shady Motha (2-5-0)
What a pleasant way to kick off the second half of the season, with Dana and Derek in back-to-back weeks, although Colin will be facing his brother without the help of Saquon Barkley so that matchup could be tighter than expected. (Then again, maybe not since Saquon - the 15th ranked RB - has been a disappointment so far this season.) Things get a little trickier after that. Ja’Marr Chase, Xavier Worthy, and Javonte Williams are all on bye for Colin’s date with Bernie. I think Colin has the matchups to move past The Champ but then he has Eli and Johnny. But those games might not matter; if 8 wins gets a team to the playoffs, Dana, Derek, Justin, and the finale against Andy should be enough to do the trick. In the playoffs, Josh Allen has New England, Cleveland, and Philly - not just three solid defenses but potentially three bad weather games. Ja’Marr Chase has an easier time with Baltimore, @Miami, and Arizona but, again, the home games could have weather issues. The real kicker will be if Colin makes it to the title game - he’ll have to root for Saquon Barkley against his beloved Buffalo Bills. Colin could easily be ranked #3 but I’ve been underestimating him all season so why stop now?
4. KTTTSSSS!!!
SCHEDULE: The Fighting Borts (7-0-0), Clay Says Shiit Shiiiiiiiiiiiit (2-5-0), Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0), Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0), One Shady Motha (2-5-0), Thee Gospel(3-4-0), The Gentleman in the Corner (4-3-0)
Bernie’s schedule is neither here nor there. He faces Colin when Ja’Marr Chase, Xavier Worthy, and Jameson Williams are all on bye but then Danny Dimes and Tyler Warren are off against Johnny (and Jaxson Dart is playing Green Bay, which might not be the greatest matchup.) De’Von Achane and Keenan Allen are out the following week but that’s the week he plays Andy so a higher degree of difficulty doesn’t necessarily equal a loss. Bernie ends the season with even strength matchups against The Brendandook and The Gentleman. I’d expect him to be 7 - 5 heading into those games so he may need to win one of those two games to make the second season. Given this dicey second half, why is Bernie ranked this high? I think Bernie could have, top to bottom, the best playoff matchups and I think he has good odds of being the points leader for those three weeks. The contenders should all probably root against Señor Snake in the coming weeks because if you let him in the playoffs, he’s going to be hard to stop.
3. THEE GOSPEL
The Fantasy Gods (or Demons) smiled upon Brendan when this schedule was made. If Eli was nervous about the Brendandook before, he’s going to become absolutely apoplectic when he sees this breakdown.
Week 8 brings Rahul, possibly without Lamar and definitely no Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Week 9 is Brett without Jalen Hurts/Devonta Smith
Week 10 is Dak and CeeDee’s bye week but guess who benefits? None other than league villain, Player #14. The devil’s work is never done!
Week 11 is the Saints’ bye so Kamara and Shaheed will be out but Brendan is facing Dana so he should be able to weather that storm. (Also, not having Shaheed could be addition by subtraction.)
Week 12 is Derek without Justin Herbert.
Week 13 brings Bernie and finally a full squad. It feels fitting that this lineup that seems like someone sold their soul should face its toughest matchup in a team named after A SNAKE!
Week 14 wraps up with Justin who will be missing Christian McCaffrey.
There’s is a very strong possibility that Brendan heads into the playoff on a 7 - 1 or 6 - 2 run. It probably won’t be enough to wrest the first round bye out of Eli’s hands but it should give the obsessed Commish nightmares for the next two months.
Now, there is one potential issue here and that’s that Brendan’s team is 4th to last in scoring and he’s failed to break 100 points every other week this year. He’s never had back-to-back triple digit scores. Even Andy’s accomplished that! On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb missed a bunch of games and Brendan’s lackluster performance last week was partly due to James Cook being on bye but still, this is a team that has holes and hasn’t been able to put it together consistently.
When it comes to the playoffs, the biggest hurdle for Brendan seems to be Week 1 when the Cowboys are facing Minnesota, James Cook will be up against New England’s tough run defense, and Kamara will be stuck with the Panthers. If the man living in Eli’s head can get past Round 1, his matchups look much nicer and he’s a legit threat to bring home yet another title. Eli will probably never speak to me again if Juaun Jennings is a difference maker. I already helped Brendan win one title, the year I traded him Lamar Jackson. A second helping hand could tear apart our trivia team.
2. VANCEINYOURPANTS
SCHEDULE: Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0), One Shady Motha (2-5-0), Thee Gospel (3-4-0), The Gentleman in the Corner(4-3-0), The McBarge (4-3-0), Double Dram-Ba-Ba-Bouie(4-3-0), Thick cakes. Big stakes. (3-4-0)
If Player #14 wins this week, there’s probably no stopping him from making the playoffs. He’d be 6 - 2, which is basically 7 - 2 because he still has a game against Andy to look forward to. He’d have to somehow lose all of the rest of his games and drop down in the Points Scored column, which would be a collapse that would eclipse even Eli’s disastrous fall a couple years ago. But… it could happen. The only thing that can stop Rico Dowdle is Chuba Hubbard and Chuba’s doing just that. The same fracturing of carries is about to also happen to Jordan Mason as Aaron Jones is ready to return from the IR. Minnesota’s quarterback situation could lower Justin Jefferson’s ceiling and it seems like someone tapped Travis Etienne on the shoulder and reminded him that he is Travis Etienne as he’s failed to crack double digits the last three weeks. And we haven’t even gotten to the fact that karma bitch-slapped The Veep as he lost Mike Evan and Darren Waller and then Jayden Daniels got dinged up. Injuries as impacting The Veep like it was the White House East Wing.
All of that being said, I feel like Player #14 will find a way to make the playoffs and once he’s there, he’s dangerous. Justin Jefferson has a league-winning playoff schedule and there are a lot of green matchups to choose from. The “choose from” could be what takes Player #14 down though. It won’t be easy deciding which running back to play each week. Jeff is the team most likely to make a roster choice that costs him his chance at a title. Here’s hoping that Jeff will soon feel the same level of regret that American cattle farmers are feeling right now.
1. THE FIGHTING BORTS
SCHEDULE: Ktttssss!!! (4-3-0), The McBarge (4-3-0), Clay Says Shiit Shiiiiiiiiiiiit (2-5-0), Double Dram-Ba-Ba-Bouie (4-3-0), Uncle Rico's RuffNecks (4-3-0), Thick cakes. Big stakes (3-4-0), Essos Son Reebok o son Nike (5-2-0)
Eli’s team has been literally unstoppable in the first half of the season but they also have faced the easiest schedule. And Derrick Henry is the only key player who has had his bye yet so Eli has games ahead without Mahomes, Amon-Ra, and Taylor/Pittman. This week is St. Brown’s bye. Rahul benefits from facing Eli during Indy’s bye week. But Mahomes’s bye week shouldn’t be an issue because backup Bo Nix is facing the pathetic Raiders that week.
While the road ahead is rougher for Eli, he pretty much has to win just one more game to make the playoffs and, despite Johnny’s heater, I think Eli should be able to maintain his death grip on the first round bye, which is imperative because his team doesn’t have the best matchups that week. Not that his matchups get better after that. And, shield your eyes, Andy, in terms of actual football, Eli’s biggest concern may be the Colts continuing to win and starting to take some of the load off of Jonathan Taylor at the end of the season in order to keep the oft-injured RB healthy for the actual NFL playoffs. I’m tempted to knock Eli down a couple pegs because of his playoff matchups but so far, that hasn’t really mattered much and I just can’t see anyone else who should have higher odds of winning it all. Ask me again when the playoffs roll around and I’d be surprised if Eli wasn’t my third choice as Team Most Likely to Take Home The Title.